Debate, and discuss, just dont Bore me.
But Nobody is Laughing
Published on February 4, 2010 By Dr Guy In Politics

I got interested in Anthoprogennic Global Warming (AGW) by being challenged by a co-worker.  Having some time on my hands between researching HEOA 2008 (a whole other story), I delved into it. At apparently the right time.  Just post Emailgate.  What I have found is both astonishing and embarrassing.  Astonishing for the depth of the deception, and embarrassing to anyone that would like to call the people perpetuating this hypothesis scientists.  Clearly they may have the title, but have no other relation to real scientists in other disciplines.

The fraud, deceptions, criminal acts, lies, and data manipulation go far beyond "hiding the decline" or deleting emails (illegal in both countries).  Herewith a brief, and far from comprehensive, synopsis of the goings on behind the latest world crises.

First we had GlacierGate.This is where Rajendri Pachauri, the head of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (for the UN), apparently used a climbers magazine (not peer reviewed) and an off hand comment by an Indian scientists to declare that the Himalayan Glaciers would disappear in 25 years.  Not even close.  the closest anyone can come to such an outrageous claim is that "someone" said they would disappear in 350 years.  just a small mistake.  But not the last.

Then we had AmazonGate where AGW was destroying 40% of the rainforests!  Problem is the publication did not talk about AGW, but rather the residents just clear cutting the forest (for cattle and crops).  And the sourced document was not Peer reviewed! (Per the standards imposed by the IPCC on all its sources).  So it was just a plain, undocumented lie.

Then there is GreenpeaceGate! This is more far reaching, but never the less, damaging.  In no less than 8 places in the IPCC AR4 report (4th Assessment report), the sources used for claims of AGW are none other than puff pieces put out by GreenPeace.  Now Greenpeace is a nice organization that does save whales, but they are hardly research scientists, nor are the peer reviewed.  They are an advocacy group with an agenda - an agenda against what?  Everything Man does.  Impartial, they are not.

Not to be outdone, the IPCC AR4 report then goes on to claim that AGW is soiling the Antartic with BootGate! - “The multiple stresses of climate change and increasing human activity on the Antarctic Peninsula represent a clear vulnerability (see Section 15.6.3), and have necessitated the implementation of stringent clothing decontamination guidelines for tourist landings on the Antarctic Peninsula (IAATO, 2005).”

They pulled a cleaning article out of a magazine to show how AGW was now desstroying the pristine wilderness of the antartic.  Again, there are 2 problems.  One is that it is definitely not peer reviewed, and worse, does not even talk about AGW (or any kind of climate).

But what if you want to find out about these things?  Why go to Wiki, right?  Not if you want the truth, for we also have WikiGate! How about that folks!  Of course you have not heard about dissent (at least if you get any news from Wiki), as the The fix was in!

But where is our watchdog media in all of this?  Should they not be protecting us from this scandal?  Not if you are the Ny Times! The IPCC AR4 reference reads (Wilgoren and Roane, 1999) and is the source for the following claim: Unreliable electric power, as in minority neighbourhoods during the New York heatwave of 1999, can amplify concerns about health and environmental justice.

So what next?  Can the Ar4 get any worse? Perhaps, considering who helped write it - Phil jones and Wei-Chyung Wang seem to have a problem with Chinese Temperatures. Chinagate! Must be all those funny characters, right?

What next?  Well, then we have the shenanigans that the CRU and NASA are playing with the numbers.  It seems that the number of stations they used to show the blade of the Hockey Stick went from aroun 6000 in 1990 to only about 1500 today. TemperatureStationGate!

Which lead directly to monkeying with the absence of numbers, or the Bolivia Effect! Thisis where the absence of the recording stations leads to global warming higher than the surrounding areas they are using to "extrapolate" the data from.  Cute trick.

But in all of this, at least some things are normal.  Your (if you are an American) tax dollars at work, with Gavin Schmidt Gate! Ah yes, an employee on the public dole maintaining a PR site for Phil Jones, Michael Mann, et, al. on government time.  How do we know?  because he follows his leaders well and deletes any dissenting comments from the site!  So if real Climate is the only source you are getting your information from, you are getting screwed (twice if you are an American).

But back to the IPCC AR4 report.  What has been happening there lately? Can we say Conflict of Interest? Yep! Seems the leader of the IPCC is profiting handsomely from this scare!  And not just from his Porn Book. The man is randy!

Ok, so what is left?  How about "Steal the Data before it is Quality reviewed!" or lets throw some real religion into this whole sordid affair.  How about the IPCC using a paper that was not peer reviewed, but rejected, before it was finally printed in a trade magazine - A year after it was referenced! They dont call that the Jesus Paper for nothing! Seems it died, was resurrected, then used before it was resurrected to promote IPCC AR4!

And then there is the latest scandal to hit the IPCC AR4 - Hurricanegate! It just keeps getting better and better. But it is not over yet.  To date, scientists and authors have discovered 9 citatations of a master thesis (it was all supposed to be Peer reviewed?  Where is a master thesis coming from??), 2 of which were never published, and 31 PHD theses or dissertations, one that was never published, and 3 from (guess where?) East ANglia!!  All in the IPCC AR4 report.  And the review has only just started.

yes, we can see that the "Holy Bible" of the AGW movement is rife with problems!  But have you heard it in the American Press?  Not hardly (at least the Uk is catching up).  And are you going to try to "Google" this stuff? Don't bother, because we also have Googlegate! yes, links on google have been disappearing faster than facts from the IPCC AR4 paper.  As much as I hate to say it, you are better off with Bing.  Someone at google does not want you to hear the truth!

There is a lot more, but this has gone on long enough.  So the next time someone tells you to believe them because "The Bible (AR4) tells them so", pop a top sit back, and show them their religion is falling apart.


Comments (Page 5)
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on Feb 26, 2010

Government oversight is probably a better phrase than intervention. Apparently I am more socialist inclined than you, but I don't know if the reasons I gave conincide with a socialist market theory. The ones I know never really cared about safety and health issues or the enviconment.

I really had to think about those principles because I was in an exercise and the task was to evaluate different potential building sites for a fiction industrial park according to a biocentric ethical viewpoint - we were a fictional ethics commission assigned to a county board or something like that. It was quite the problem for us (none of us were economists) how exactly placing different values should be done. The biocentric environmental view states that every living matter has equal value, including plantlife and animals. There are great philosophers that make excelent arguments why that is so, which is entireley useless because there is no accompanying manual on how to apply that to reality.

Long story short, it comes down to a systematic approach on assigning values to different things like scarcity, biodeversity etc. - probably a form of CBA, just not strictly in an economic sense. How exactly that apporach should look like - well, we only recommended the development of it and luckily didn't have to do it ourselves.

I found quite a few essays regarding CBA in a book called The environmental ethics and policy book, Philosophy, Ecology, Economics. The easiest to understand (no overly complicated language, concrete examples) studybooks I found are all from american authors. Germans always write way too complicated and longwinded.

 

on Feb 28, 2010

Large L.E.D. technology has come a long way. Military vehicles are now being built with L.E.D. headlights and they work quite well (no heat sinks or fans). Big rigs and trailers now come with L.E.D. marker and tail lights. I've noticed that the price of these tail lights has dropped a great deal over the past few years as they have become the standard.

The key with L.E.D. lights is not in making a single diode to burn as bright as you need, but in clustering them to produce the needed light. The big down-side to them at the moment is the spectrum of light they produce isn't quite as good as what we currently use for indoor lighting. I can't imagine trying to read by that slightly blue/white light they produce. I keep a couple of flashlights in the truck, one L.E.D. and one with a Xenon  bulb. The spectrum difference of the two lights is quite obvious side by side.

Once they can produce a true white light I think they will be the way to go.

Clusters do work in applications like vehicle light. I am actually quite curious as to why lighbulb replacements use the "single diode" mode. My guess is that it is a matter of production cost. There is also the issue of directionality. car lights are highly directional which lends itself well to focusing the light via reflectors. While light bulb replacements should emit light in all directions. LEDs do wonders in the spotlight department where their limited light can be focused into a small angle.

I can buy the leds I described, but I have not seen an LED cluster in the store yet. Maybe they are there and I just have not noticed.

every illumination technology has its plusses and minuses. And I am certain that the LED tech has great potential, enough to become the dominant light tech in the near future. It just makes sense to do so after the technology exists, not before we actually have a product.

as for the heatsink + fan LED: http://www.earthtechproducts.com/led-bulb.html

its actually 13 watt replaced 100 watt incandescent.

This one replaces a 45 watt  incandescent without a fan: http://www.earthtechproducts.com/p2636.html?gdfdomain=.store.yahoo.net&gdftrk=gdfV2538_a_7c634_a_7c2338_a_7cLEDCL3

here is a 60 watt equivalent (7 watts): http://www.earthtechproducts.com/p2637.html

So yea, I was wrong about the 60 watt replacement thing, it was the 100 watt replacements. they are better then they used to. Still, a 60 watt equivalent @ 40$ is quite a lot of money. when a 4 pack of 60 watt equivalent CFLs (14 watts actual) costs 7$

http://www.amazon.com/Compact-Fluorescent-Temperature-Incandescent-Equivalent/dp/B00029QUWG/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&s=home-garden&qid=1267360016&sr=8-2

To pay for itself the LED needs to be vastly longer lived and more power efficient. at 7 watts difference, thats about 7$ a year savings when on 24/7. (depending on your electricity cost)

it claims 11 years when on 8 hours a day (~3.6 years @ 24/7/365), but also claims over 50,000 hours life (~5.7 years). I am sure both figures are exaggerated.

If its closer to the 3.6 yeras figure, it will only save 25$ or so over the lifespan of the bulb in terms of electricity compared to CFL. 40-25 gives 15$, thats enough to buy 9CFLS. the CFL are rated for 1/5th the lifespan, but are much cheaper. And you get to reap the benefits of improved technology earlier (by replacing bulbs more often and paying less each time. I still have CFLs I bought years ago @ about 10$ per bulb).

if it is closer to the 50,000 hours figure, then it can actually pay for itself, as it will save ~40$ over CFLs in its lifetime, and it costs 40$ to buy. making it the better deal.

on Mar 01, 2010

utemia
Government oversight is probably a better phrase than intervention. Apparently I am more socialist inclined than you, but I don't know if the reasons I gave conincide with a socialist market theory. The ones I know never really cared about safety and health issues or the enviconment.

I think you have more socialist tendencies than I do, but I would not call you a socialist.  I think the difference is just in how we were raised - you in a society that tends more socialist than I.

utemia
Long story short, it comes down to a systematic approach on assigning values to different things like scarcity, biodeversity etc. - probably a form of CBA, just not strictly in an economic sense. How exactly that apporach should look like - well, we only recommended the development of it and luckily didn't have to do it ourselves.

It always comes down to that.  But then how do you assign values?  What is the basis of the value?  IN any society today, the basis always comes back to money.  In one society, they may value a human life for pittance (most dictators do that), and in others they place a much higher value on it.  In some areas, a human life is worth more than anyone can afford, and so the CBA always comes out with very high safety features.  In others, they assign a lower value, so safety, while important, is not the make or break factor in the decision.

on Mar 01, 2010

It always comes down to that. But then how do you assign values? What is the basis of the value? IN any society today, the basis always comes back to money. In one society, they may value a human life for pittance (most dictators do that), and in others they place a much higher value on it. In some areas, a human life is worth more than anyone can afford, and so the CBA always comes out with very high safety features. In others, they assign a lower value, so safety, while important, is not the make or break factor in the decision.

The question is wether moral values are valuable on their own or only because we assigned value to them. I'd like to believe the former.

Does the environment have (moral) value because it exists or only because we as humans assigned value to it, like aesthetic, instrumental, sentimental, religeous etc. values. You could ask the same for a human life. Does human life have value on its own, without human influence, or because we decided that it does? Pricing moral values just feels wrong, even if a CBA can accomplish it.

A ethical counterargument against those supporters of AGW who claim that exploitation of resources on the cost of the environment is amoral and wrong could be this: If you state hat the environment/the whole world has a moral value that is independant from humans, then the environment has value no matter what we do. So even a dead nuclear wasteland (very extreme case) or a world with drastically changed eco- and climatesystems would still have the same moral value because it is independant from human oppinion. There is no moral obligation to the environment to do anything to protect the environment or to stop change in this line of argument - that is, they would have to come up with a convincing ethically sound counterargument, which is possible without too much difficulty, but it's a fun challenge.

on Mar 01, 2010

utemia
The question is wether moral values are valuable on their own or only because we assigned value to them. I'd like to believe the former.

This is getting very philosophical. But I will try to keep up.  The answer is yes.  We as moral and ethical human beings assign a value to life that far exceeds the chenical cost of the components.  But we assign it never the less.  We value some lives over others (my family means more to me than a stranger's life).  Whether we sit down with pen and paper and calculate the cost is another matter.  But we will assign a value to it.  The moral and ethical part comes into play by valuing it greater than the cost of creating another life (which is the usual valuation method of assets).

utemia
Does the environment have (moral) value because it exists or only because we as humans assigned value to it, like aesthetic, instrumental, sentimental, religeous etc. values. You could ask the same for a human life. Does human life have value on its own, without human influence, or because we decided that it does? Pricing moral values just feels wrong, even if a CBA can accomplish it.

yes is does sound wrong when discussing morals and ethics.  It sounds wrong because you are mixing morals and values - an important aspect of valuation - with economics.  The Mona Lisa is a few dollars of oil and canvas, yet it is considered priceless.  Because we placed a value on it for more than just the replacement cost.  Human life is the same way. 

It is hard to think of it that way, because that is being cold and heartless.  And that is what is needed to do this type of analysis.  That does not mean it is cold and heartless, only that if you start injecting feelings into it, you would never get anywhere.  On the titanic, the captain and crew assigned a value to life, and decided that women and children were worth more than men.  It was necessary.  Was each woman better than each man?  Hardly, but he had to make a cold heartless decision to save some, as not all could be saved.  he placed a value on life based upon criteria that others may not.  But he did so to save some, since not all could be saved.

 

utemia
A ethical counterargument against those supporters of AGW who claim that exploitation of resources on the cost of the environment is amoral and wrong could be this: If you state hat the environment/the whole world has a moral value that is independant from humans, then the environment has value no matter what we do. So even a dead nuclear wasteland (very extreme case) or a world with drastically changed eco- and climatesystems would still have the same moral value because it is independant from human oppinion. There is no moral obligation to the environment to do anything to protect the environment or to stop change in this line of argument - that is, they would have to come up with a convincing ethically sound counterargument, which is possible without too much difficulty, but it's a fun challenge.

From a pure valuation standpoint, they have some merit.  But then who is doing the valuation?  God?  Aliens?  No, in all cases man is, for it is man that controls his world to some degree and must allocate scarse resources to infinite problems.  So a sterile world has no value - there is no one there to value it.  A destitute world has very little value - as there are very few to value it.  it is to our (collectively man) beenfit to value a livable planet with very high since as of now it is the only one we have.  But the cost of not exploiting the resources has to be weighed with how many would perish for lack of warmth, clothing, food and shelter.  Clearly if we disrregard the ecology, we destroy that which we need to survive.  But if we put the ecology on a pedestal and make it scared, we destroy human life in the process.  A balance must be struck.  And it is up to the collective man (not one man or a cabal of men) to place the value on the polar opposites and then to see where they intersect.  because man places such a high value on life (relative to other things), then man moves the intersection to a point where resources are exploited, but man survives.

Since man has not reached the stage where he controls his environment, the intersection is a guesstimate.  And until man can control it, it always will be.  But woe to the greens and gore should they get their way.  For when it causes mass starvation and hypothermia, the revolt will be worse than anything they think they want to impose on this world.  And it will be their fault - the road to hell is paved with good intentions (although in Gore's case I think it is just greed).

on Mar 01, 2010

lol - thanks for keeping up! I find it a fascinating topic to have a conversation about.

Philosophy is the foundation of natural science, of all science. Philosophers were the first who tried to come up with a systematic model to explain the universe and the world, and out of that evovled the rest. So even if this getting philosophical might seem totally off topic from the op, I see a connection. Just think about people like Alexander Humboldt, adventurer, explorer, botanist and philosopher who had a concept of how the world worked and tried to map that in nature only to discover that it didn't really work the way he thought it did.

on Mar 01, 2010

philosophical might seem totally off topic from the op,

Hey!  Lightbulbs were Off topic too!  And Taltamir left me in the dark when he started talking about heatsinks on them!

Like I said, you never know where a topic will go.  And for those who are bored, they just dont have to respond.  but as for this topic, I will concede you probably can beat me to death with it.  I am more hard science than philosophy.  And it was hurting my brain trying to keep up with you.

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