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Published on January 24, 2006 By Dr Guy In International

The Situation in Iran seems to be gathering a lot of steam, and nations are now starting to saber rattle. The title and subtitle of this article is a Quote from John McCain in a Fox News Interview, and was probably precipitated by a recent statement by Israel's Defense Minister: http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2006/1/21/215128.shtml?s=et

"Israel will not be able to accept an Iranian nuclear capability and it must have the capability to defend itself, with all that that implies, and this we are preparing," Shaul Mofaz said.

Israel is not alone as we have seen.  France already alluded to using Nukes against terrorist nations (and they were not talking about North Korea), and Germany has even started rattling its saber as well:

Germany's defense minister said in an interview published Saturday that he is hopeful of a diplomatic solution to the impasse over Iran's nuclear program, but argued that "all options" should remain open.

While all this bluster is good, it will not mean a thing if the European community is just that, bluster.  But there are indications that indeed, Europe has finally found a threat they cannot tolerate.  For while it is unlikely an Iranian Scud will hit France or Germany, the likelihood of one hitting Israel is very great, and Israel has made its intentions known.

The biggest difference between North Korea and Iran seems to be the mental stability of its leaders.  While there is no question that Kim Jung Il is a whack job, no one has yet said his trolley has left the tracks.  Nor have they been overtly threatening their neighbors.  For the most part, they are just playing the UN game.  Blustering.

Not so Iran.  They have already called for the eradication of another sovereign state.  And not just a regime change, but the actual extermination of the entire nation.  They may be playing a game of chicken, but the rest of the world does not seem to be buying that.  They are taking the threat seriously.

Nothing may come of this, but it is apparent with 2 broken promises to date, Iran is not going to agree to do anything short of arming themselves with nuclear weapons.  And while their missile technology is in its infancy, so they do not really pose a threat now to nations outside the Middle East, it is good enough to take out a few neighboring Arab and Jewish states.  And I dont think any of those countries are too keen on having a Persian threat on their borders either.

So the die is being cast.  The US is playing it very coy, making it plain that they fully support the European initiative, while holding their own options close to the vest.  Will the Europeans step up and get tough with Iran?  Or will they cave again as they have so many times in the last 50 years?

Time will tell.  But one thing is very interesting.  For all the rhetoric of Europe and their hatred of Bush, when the chips are on the table, they do not seem to be too worried about a Cowboy lobbing a nuke across the ocean.  But they sure seem afraid that a loony tunes Muslim just might try some stupid stunt like that.


Comments (Page 2)
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on Jan 24, 2006

Sure they do...can you say "glass parking lot"? "If" the Israeli's stike first that is what Iran will get. I'd be willing to bet we'll give'em the same.

No, I think it will be like the Iraqi strike.  Did they strike bacK?

on Jan 24, 2006

WE have few options in Iran and every military member I have heard has said there is no military solution. The situation in Iran demonstrates how we have misused our military power against Iraq that was NO threat and now we have very few options in Iran which was and is a far more REAL threat to both the U S and Israel.

What part of you dont get it do you not understand? C.O.L.

on Jan 24, 2006

To me that statement sounds really, really stupid. Why should France and Germany turn on one ally for the sake of another?

Actually it is very succint.  Iran is not their ally.

on Jan 24, 2006
Dr Guy

Since my opinion happens to be the same as all the military experts that have talked about our options in Iran, I would say you are the odd man out!
on Jan 24, 2006

Dr Guy

Since my opinion happens to be the same as all the military experts that have talked about our options in Iran, I would say you are the odd man out!


What a switch... usually it's the col who's odd man out! Usually out of his mind! Just an fyi col...."your" opinion is just that. "Your opinion" and nothing more.
on Jan 25, 2006
While all this bluster is good, it will not mean a thing if the European community is just that, bluster. But there are indications that indeed, Europe has finally found a threat they cannot tolerate. Much like our bluster over North Korea, eh?
Not so Iran. They have already called for the eradication of another sovereign state. Nothing new here; they've vowed to eradicate Israel since the 70s. And they would love us to overreact to prove their point. After all, if we could rush to war in Iraq and lose our prestige, they would love a few bombs lobbed over at them.
on Jan 26, 2006

Dr Guy

Since my opinion happens to be the same as all the military experts that have talked about our options in Iran, I would say you are the odd man out!

Since you did not read the article, can I call you ignorant?

on Jan 26, 2006

What a switch... usually it's the col who's odd man out! Usually out of his mind! Just an fyi col...."your" opinion is just that. "Your opinion" and nothing more.

Actually, since this was not a Bush Bash, he is out of his field.  I guess he could not turn it into one, and so plead stupidity.

on Jan 26, 2006

Much like our bluster over North Korea, eh?
Not so Iran. They have already called for the eradication of another sovereign state. Nothing new here; they've vowed to eradicate Israel since the 70s. And they would love us to overreact to prove their point. After all, if we could rush to war in Iraq and lose our prestige, they would love a few bombs lobbed over at them.

Ah Steven!  Sorry I am so late to respond.  We will disagree on North Korea.  They are on a yoke.  And until that yoke is broke (am I doing a Suess here?), we need not worry.

As for Iran, you are wrong.  It has only been of late that the LEADERSHIP has decided to get rid of that pesky democratic state.

letting brain dead mullahs talk is one thing. Letting the finger on the bomb people say it is another.

Big Difference!

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